The U.S. economy and stock market, in plain English
Weekly reads on the VIX, Treasury yields, inflation, jobs, and the largest U.S. stocks. Every number is tied to a specific market close and comes from public data.
Latest Analysis
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10-Year Yield Holds Near 4.95% After Oil’s Sharp Drop (Week Ending November 3, 2026)
The 10-year Treasury yield finished Tuesday, November 3, at 4.95%, about 6 basis points above Monday’s 4.89% close.
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VIX Closes at 21.15, First Reading Above 20 Since July (Week Ending November 2, 2026)
The VIX rose 8.91% on Monday, November 2, to 21.15. That is the first close above 20 since July 29. SPY fell 0.48% to 752.10 and QQQ fell 1.36% to…
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Fed Holds at 3.75% to 4% as Friday Pulls QQQ Down 3.5% (Week Ending October 30, 2026)
SPY lost 0.56% in the week to October 30 and QQQ lost 1.97%. Friday was a 1.77% drop for SPY and a 3.47% drop for QQQ.
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10-Year Holds at 4.99% as Oil Slips Back Under $100 (Week Ending October 27, 2026)
The 10-year Treasury yield finished Tuesday, October 27, at 4.99%, about 1 basis point above Monday and about 12 basis points below the October 20 close.
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VIX Eases to 18.39 as Tesla Leads a Pre-Fed Bounce (Week Ending October 26, 2026)
Stocks rose on Monday, October 26, and the VIX fell with them. SPY gained 0.71% to 765.37 and QQQ gained 1.11% to 712.20. The VIX dropped 5.45% to 18.39.
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What the Data Says Ahead of the October 28 Fed Decision
The Federal Reserve meets on October 27 and 28 and announces its decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28.
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10-Year Falls Below 5% as Apple Hits a Record and SPY Slips (Week Ending October 23, 2026)
SPY slipped 0.43% in the week to October 23 and QQQ fell 0.76%.
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10-Year Eases to 5.12% Before the October Fed Meeting (Week Ending October 20, 2026)
The 10-year Treasury yield eased to 5.12% on Tuesday, October 20, about 2 basis points below Monday and about 19 basis points below the 5.31% close on October…
Guides
New to these numbers? Each guide explains one indicator and lists every weekly post we have written about it.
Velox Macro is independent and explains what the data shows, not what to buy or sell. How we check the numbers.